When it’s safe to stop an unfinished optimizer experiment

Sometimes an experiment just keeps dragging on because the difference between the winning and losing page(s) hasn’t passed Google’s criteria for significance. Generally speaking, I think it’s a good idea to keep going until Google announces a winner, but sometimes the pattern is clear, and you really want to move along to your next test, …

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Error bars and conversion rates in optimizer experiments

I don’t know how Google’s website optimizer picks the winning combination on a multivariate test. It’s some complicated statistics that I don’t know and probably don’t want to know. The trouble is that the margin for error on a complicated experiment (i.e., an experiment with a lot of options) sometimes overwhelms the results. For example, …

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